Friday, March 03, 2006

The Oscars--Who Should/Will Win and Who Should/Should Not Be Here!

Let the controversy begin!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS NOMINEES
Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

WHO SHOULD WIN: Michelle Williams. Her agony was real, and her performance was stellar.
WHO WILL WIN: Rachel Weisz. Not that Oscar is predictable, but he likes to go along with everyone else sometimes. Rachel has won pretty much everything else, so she might add an Academy Award to her collection.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Thandie Newton, Crash. Her "get-me-the-hell-out-of-this-car-anyone-but-you" scene alone should have secured her a nod here.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: Catherine Keener. Sure, she was great in Capote, but nothing she did was enormously earth-shattering.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR NOMINEES
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderalla Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence

WHO SHOULD WIN: Jake Gyllenhaal. Overshadowed by Heath Leadger, it would be nice for Jake to go home with a prize.
WHO WILL WIN: George Clooney. Oscar will probably not let his potential Triple Crown go unrewarded.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents. His performance was the perfect match for Dame Judi Dench's.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: William Hurt. Nothing personal, but there were other performances that were more exhilerating.

BEST ACTRESS NOMINEES
Dame Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felictiy Huffman, Transamerica
Keira Knightley, Pride and Prejudice
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

WHO SHOULD WIN: Felicity Huffman. Comfortable in her own skin, she proves going cross-country while cross-dressing is no drag.
WHO WILL WIN: Reese Witherspoon. Hollywood's Darling has nabbed almost all other awards for her performance as June Cash, and Oscar usually hates being a non-conformist.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Ziyi Zhang. Sure, the movie tanked, but give credit where it is due.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: No one.

BEST ACTOR NOMINEES
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

WHO SHOULD WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman. If Capote himself saw the movie, he would swear that Hoffman stole his very being.
WHO WILL WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman. He became Capote.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Jonathan Rhys Meyers, Match Point. His smoldering good looks were not match for his dark side.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: No one.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM NOMINEES
Don't Tell, Italy
Joyeux Noel, France
Paradise Now, Palestine
Sophie Scholl-The Final Days, Germany
Tsotsi, South Africa

WHO SHOULD WIN: Tsotsi. This spin on bad boy turned good is as credible as it is intriguging.
WHO WILL WIN: Tsotsi. Up to five minutes ago, I would have predicted Paradise Now, but I think Oscar might have a change of mind, too.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Cache, Austria. Okay, so the native tongue of Austria is not French. This great movie should not be hidden from the nominations.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: No one.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE NOMINEES
Howl's Moving Castle
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
Wallace & Gromit

WHO SHOULD WIN: Wallace & Gromit
WHO WILL WIN: Wallace & Gromit. These Oscars favorites will probably add an animated feature statue to their collection of animated short statues. This is one of the most critically and commercially successful movies of the season.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Madagascar. Okay, so they did not revolutionize the art of animation, but they did provide a colorful, hilarious tale with an all-star cast and great score.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: Corpse Bride. Had this award existed back then, Tim Burton's Nightmare Before Christmas definitely would have been nominated, and it probably would have won. So now, Oscar is giving Tim a complementary nod to this recycled version of Nightmare.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY NOMINEES
Crash, Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck, George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point, Woody Allen
The Squid and The Whale, Noah Baumbach
Syrina, Stephen Gaghan

WHO SHOULD WIN: Crash
WHO WILL WIN: Crash. These intewoven storylines are exhilerating. It's fast-paced and contemporary.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Batman Begins. Instead of recycling a familiar series, they have breathed new life into it.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: No one.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY NOMINEES
Brokeback Mountain, Larry McMartry & Diana Ossana
Capote, Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener, Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence, Josh Olson
Munich, Tony Kushner & Eric Roth

WHO SHOULD WIN: Brokeback Mountain
WHO WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain. Taking a 20-page story about a love affair of about as many years is no small task, but these writers did it!
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Shopgirl, Steve Martin. Not only is he a talented comedian and actor, but he is also a talented author, and it is a crime that his script was lifted from this category.
WHO SHOULD NOT HERE: Munich. We appreciate the social relevance, but people are beginning to tire of all this political statements.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE NOMINEES
Brokeback Mountain, Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener, Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha, John Williams
Munich, John Williams
Pride & Prejudice, Dario Marianelli

WHO SHOULD WIN: Brokeback. The haunting acoustic score is the new Motorcycle Diaries.
WHO WILL WIN: Memoirs. Sure, Mr. Williams is one of the most talented composers of contempory times, but let's start spreading the wealth.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Good Night, and Good Luck. Not sure how much of the jazz numbers count for "original score," but they should.
WHO SHOULD NOT HERE: Munich. Enough, already.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG NOMINEES
"In the Deep," Crash
'It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp," Hustle & Flow
"Travelin' Thru," Transamerica

WHO SHOULD WIN: "Travelin' Thru"
WHO WILL WIN: "Travelin' Thru." Dolly Parton, as always, stays true to her roots and provides a tune that accurately decribes the feelings emoted in this film.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: "A Love That Will Never Grow Old," Brokeback Mountain. The song wasn't in the movie long enough to be eligible. Give me a "break."
"Wunderkind," The Lion, the Witch, and the Wardrobe. There are usually five nominees. This wonderful song should be the fifth.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: No One.

BEST DIRECTING NOMINEES
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Paul Haggis, Crash
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller, Capote
Steven Spielberg, Munich

WHO SHOULD WIN: Ang Lee
WHO WILL WIN: Ang Lee. Need I say more?
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Woody Allen, Match Point. Well, at least he got recognized for writing this intelligent thriller.
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: Steven Spielberg. I don't have anything against him. Really, I don't.

BEST PICTURE NOMINEES
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

WHO SHOULD WIN: Brokeback Mountain
WHO WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain. Brokeback broke through. Let's reward it.
WHO SHOULD BE HERE: Walk the Line or Match Point. Anything but...
WHO SHOULD NOT BE HERE: Munich

Watch the Oscars, and have fun!

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Great picks. I agree with all of your choices, although I think frances McDormand's slot should have gone to Thandie Newton.

Anonymous said...

Ok the only thing i disagreed enough with to mention here is Terrance Howard. Honestly Hustle and Flow was ok, some of it was VERY ok but I could see a number of other actors doing exactly what he did and that to me is reson enough to not go awarding actors prizes